Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 15.558102 17.741879 20.082261 22.772378 25.774249 29.016043 32.776867
2024-10-06 13.378302 16.522018 20.125093 24.541114 29.787269 35.799154 43.187480
2024-10-13 11.108172 14.778922 19.255452 25.071785 32.379365 41.202589 52.601924
2024-10-20 8.912496 12.747690 17.712694 24.530588 33.555901 44.989355 60.447063
2024-10-27 7.130873 10.942292 16.168413 23.731188 34.243255 48.163026 67.776687
2024-11-03 6.324581 10.332510 16.114160 24.871837 37.566379 55.020392 80.483963
2024-11-10 5.962576 10.301867 16.849393 27.171798 42.687867 64.719928 97.825482
2024-11-17 5.409477 9.880507 16.932411 28.491807 46.486652 72.837499 113.556338
2024-11-24 4.687751 9.063592 16.282922 28.589135 48.425413 78.367466 125.919177
2024-12-01 3.947514 8.087912 15.236438 27.908050 49.049134 81.924144 135.542680
2024-12-08 3.429535 7.420146 14.608258 27.818169 50.561839 86.894716 147.589418
2024-12-15 3.057965 6.963252 14.280671 28.183023 52.816994 93.142759 161.977157
2024-12-22 2.670099 6.422774 13.755674 28.184509 54.530990 98.766731 175.973704
2024-12-29 2.513592 6.335510 14.073528 29.753373 59.107818 109.435248 198.892498
2025-01-05 2.232000 5.927382 13.709680 29.996979 61.330621 116.282910 215.902676
2025-01-12 1.884513 5.302297 12.817749 29.108534 61.382394 119.373151 226.726054
2025-01-19 1.574013 4.699683 11.881996 28.011663 60.917738 121.484762 235.947559
2025-01-26 1.476496 4.610569 12.053304 29.212572 64.983456 131.992968 260.550102
2025-02-02 1.477674 4.780710 12.830356 31.773263 71.929984 148.185669 296.184723
2025-02-09 1.402881 4.730637 13.088009 33.225982 76.745576 160.681894 325.749460
2025-02-16 1.254522 4.443452 12.740915 33.295594 78.720481 167.920744 346.024177
2025-02-23 1.079579 4.038726 12.045184 32.488889 78.780116 171.464581 359.572404
2025-03-02 0.959553 3.773994 11.663979 32.367270 80.276296 177.871168 378.830150